Parlamentswahl Niederlande 2025

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  • Parlamentswahl Niederlande 2025

    gruener (Luddit), 29.10.2025 17:49
    #1

    Nachfolgend (fast) alle Prognosen und Einschätzungen:

    (Teilweise noch keine finalen Zahlen - jeweils gekennzeichnet mit ***)

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    .

    1. Sitze/Zetels in der Tweede Kamer

    PVVGL-PvdAVVDD66BBBCDASPFvDJA21Andere
    Ergebnis 202337252497553134
    Prognosen 2025
    Umfragen
    Verian2925162351946815
    Ipsos ***
    23231723419461120
    Peil.nl2323222242047916
    Weitere Umfragen
    Sendestörung ***28231720421461116
    XPoll21 ***28,1323,5216,7019,943,9821,483,925,4810,9115,94
    Sonstige Umfr.-Prognosen
    Politico - Poll of Polls ***27241721420461017
    Expertenprognosen
    Wahlfieber Team (MMI) ***27241722420461016
    Birnstingl29241517324451217
    MMI-Wahltrend ***26,52416,7522,254,2519,5469,7517
    Wahltipps






    0000
    Wahlfieber Average ***27,4323,7016,7420,924,0020,633,985,8310,4516,32
    PVVGL-PvdAVVDD66BBBCDASPFvDJA21Andere
    Durchschnittswerte
    Umfragen25,0023,6718,3322,674,3319,334,006,339,3317,00
    Weitere Umfragen28,0623,2616,8519,973,9921,243,965,7410,9515,97
    Sonstige Prognosen27,0024,0017,0021,004,0020,004,006,0010,0017,00
    Expertenprognosen27,5024,0016,2520,423,7521,174,005,6710,5816,67
    Wahltipps27,4623,8516,5020,673,8720,903,995,7510,5216,49
    Gesamtdurchschnitt
    Summen26,8723,7517,0421,054,0020,523,995,9110,2416,63

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    2. Prozente

    PVVGL-PvdAVVDD66BBBCDASPFvDJA21Andere
    Ergebnis 202323,4915,7515,146,294,653,313,152,230,6825,29
    Prognosen 2025
    Wahlbörsen
    Wahlfieber ***
    17,6014,8010,4014,372,8312,712,693,847,9012,86
    detaill. Wahlfieber-Werte
    Wahlfieber - 7 Tage ***
    19,8014,9510,3311,762,7014,742,743,897,9511,14
    Umfragen
    Verian/Kantar ***22,0014,609,307,102,4015,304,503,007,3014,50
    Ipsos14,8015,0010,9015,403,2012,702,704,007,4013,90
    Peil.nl ***
    18,0015,0010,0011,003,0015,003,003,007,0015,00
    Weitere Umfragen
    Sendestörung ***17,5014,5010,5014,503,0013,503,004,007,0012,50
    XPoll21 ***17,7714,4410,3914,702,6613,653,203,867,3711,96
    Sonstige Umfr.-Prognosen
    PolitPro Wahltrend ***17,6014,9010,2013,202,7013,103,103,507,6014,10
    Politico - Poll of Polls ***17,6515,6910,7813,732,9413,732,943,926,8611,76
    PVVGL-PvdAVVDD66BBBCDASPFvDJA21Andere
    Expertenprognosen
    Wahlfieber Team (MMI) ***17,0015,0011,0013,003,0013,003,504,007,0013,50
    Birnstingl19,0015,808,8011,102,2015,502,603,307,9013,80
    MMI-Wahltrend ***16,7514,9310,6313,992,9312,883,003,847,4813,59
    Wahltipps
    Wahlfieber-User ***17,5815,2410,1412,702,7113,793,033,717,4613,63
    Wahlfieber Average ***17,3714,8210,5113,882,8613,253,073,877,3713,01
    PVVGL-PvdAVVDD66BBBCDASPFvDJA21Andere
    Durchschnittswerte
    Wahlbörsen17,6014,8010,4014,372,8312,712,693,847,9012,86
    Umfragen18,2714,8710,0711,172,8714,333,403,337,2314,47
    Weitere Umfragen17,6314,4710,4514,602,8313,573,103,937,1912,23
    Sonstige Prognosen17,6215,2910,4913,462,8213,413,023,717,2312,93
    Expertenprognosen17,5815,2410,1412,702,7113,793,033,717,4613,63
    Wahltipps17,4815,0310,3313,292,7813,523,053,797,4113,32
    Gesamtdurchschnitt
    Summen17,7414,9810,2712,972,8013,703,103,687,3613,39
  • RE: Parlamentswahl Niederlande 2025

    Laie, 29.10.2025 19:16, Reply to #1
    #2

    Eine der letzten Prognosen vor der Wahl.  Ob die PVV wirklich nur Platz 3 erreicht und D66 gewinnt?

  • RE: Parlamentswahl Niederlande 2025 - exit poll

    gruener (Luddit), 29.10.2025 23:04, Reply to #2
    #3

    Tweede Kamerverkiezingen 2025 / Dutch general election / Parlamentswahl Niederlande

    Exit polls

    D66 neck and neck with Geert Wilders' Partij voor de Vrijheid:

    • D66 - 27 Seats
    • PVV 25
    • VVD 23
    • GL/PvdA 20
    • CDA 19
    • JA21 9
    • FvD 6

    as reported by Ipsos

    #verkiezingen2025 #TK2025 #29oktober

    https://x.com/Wahlfieber/status/1983628659417325832

  • Parlamentswahl Niederlande 2025 - Auszählungsstand über 90%

    Laie, 30.10.2025 10:23, Reply to #3
    #4

    Es bleibt weiter sehr spannend.

    "Nach der neuesten, am frühen Morgen veröffentlichten Hochrechnung, die auf Auszählung von rund 90 Prozent der Stimmen beruht, hat Wilders Partei aufgeholt und liegt nun mit D66 gleichauf.

    Beide Parteien könnten demnach je auf 26 der 150 Sitze im Parlament kommen. Das vorläufige Endergebnis wird im Laufe des Tages erwartet."

    https://www.bild.de/politik/prognose-aus-den-niederlanden-wilders-partei-wohl-ni cht-staerkste-kraft-6902740e622e4a44f35c521a

    The difference between the two leading parties was just over 2,000 votes nationwide, according to the vote count tallied and published by Dutch national news agency ANP and cited by Dutch media.

    https://apnews.com/article/netherlands-election-wilders-jetten-coalition-01116b4 c83723994f7832128ac6cca8c

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