Grossratswahl Bern 2018

  • Grossratswahl Bern 2018

    gruener (Luddit), 26.03.2018 01:21
    #1

    leider eine sehr geringe beteiligung.

    aber der mittlere abweichungsfehler (MAE) ist trotzdem mehr als nur akzeptabel. angesichts der geringen transaktionen (und des umstandes, dass keinerlei umfragen zur verfügung standen) eigentlich sogar sehr gut, wenn nicht gar prima: 0, 88.

    zudem keinerlei bedeutsame ausrutscher. die größte abweichung lag bei 1,77 prozentpunkten (svp), am genauesten getroffen wurde die glp mit einer abweichung von 0,04.

    ******

    ich bin mir aber unsicher: was machen wir mit den weiteren kantonalen wahlen in diesem jahr?

    die schweizer unter uns mögen bitte - UNBEDINGT - einen entsprechenden laut geben - ggf. via pm.

    Link prediction
Log in
Forgot your password?
30,633 Participants » Who is online

Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

Found an error?
Your Feedback?

Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com