Der Markt wurde von mir fehlerhaft aufgesetzt.
Es handelt sich nicht - wie eingangs angeführt - um eine Initiative, sondern um ein Referendum.
In BS muss somit der Beschluss des Grossen Rates zur Finanzierung der ESC-Veranstaltung im kommenden Jahr vom Wahlvolk bestätigt werden.
Das bedeutet:
JA - Zustimmung zum GR-Beschluss
NEIN - Ablehnung des GR-Beschlusses und somit quasi Zustimmung zum Referendum "Stopp ESC 2025"
Im Markt wurden entsprechende Korrekturen vorgenommen.
Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.
Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections
Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.
USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.
UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.
Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.
This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter
Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com