Cohen on political stock market

Registered since:
07.08.2009

Current posts from Cohen

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
17 17
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 20 35
Schwyz state election, 2024 14 16
Uri state election, 2024 3 16
Thurgau state election, 2024 4 24
Portuguese legislative election, 2024 3 18
10 28
German general election 2024 in Berlin (repeat election) 12 35
St. Gallen state election, 2024 20 21
Salzburg local election, 2024 15 37
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 2023 (2nd turn) 6 14
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 2023 (2nd turn) 1 20
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 2023 (2nd turn) 16 19
Dutch general election, 2023 7 23
Bavarian state election, 2023 12 57
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 15 36
Zuerich state election, 2023 4 17
Berlin state election, 2023 33 55
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 15 36
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 12 41
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 13 42
German general election, 2021 30 81
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 49 50
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 18 54
17 55
Marburg local elections, 2021 7 19
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 15 47
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 18 45
Hessen local elections, 2021 20 43
Chemnitz mayoral election, 2020 16 34
Hamburg regional election, 2020 14 57
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 15 53
SPD-Parteivorsitz 2019 16 34
Koalitionsmarkt Österreich 2019 23 48
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2019 7 28
Parlamentswahl Polen 2019 15 16
Landtagswahl Vorarlberg 2019 37 47
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 26 51
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - Direktmandate 10 47
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 39 69
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 31 71
Kommunalwahl Baden-Württemberg 2019 26 49
Europawahl Österreich 2019 (kleine Parteien) 35 54
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (kleine Parteien) 27 69
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 (kl. Parteien) 37 50
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 33 61
Lübeck local election, 2013 (small parties) 15 41
Kommunalwahl Neumünster 2013 21 74
Schleswig-Holstein local elections, 2013 30 110
Plön local election, 2013 30 85
Kiel local election, 2013 33 140
Gemeinderatswahlen Graz 2012 (kleine Parteien) 30 95
Grüne Urabstimmung zur Spitzenkandidatur 2013 31 59
US Presidential election, 2012 (electoral votes - swing states) 14 37
Gemeinderatswahl Krems 2012 19 37
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 14 439
Grossratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Basel-Stadt 12 35
US gubernatorial elections, 2012 5 29
US presidential election, 2012 23 80
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 114 468
Senate elections - Canton Lucerne 28 116
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 134 1,499

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 2023 (2nd turn) 1 20
Uri state election, 2024 3 16
Portuguese legislative election, 2024 3 18
Zuerich state election, 2023 4 17
Frankfurt local elections, 2021 4 27
Thurgau state election, 2024 4 24
Argentine presidential election, 2023 (2nd round) 5 20
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2023 (2nd turn) 5 19
Parlamentswahl Portugal 2019 5 29
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 2023 (2nd turn) 6 14
Luxembourg general election, 2023 6 24
Marburg local elections, 2021 7 19
German federal election, 2021 8 44
10 28
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Leipzig 2020 11 36
US Senate election in Maine, 2012 8 30
Bavarian state election, 2023 12 57
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 9 21
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - Direktmandate 10 47
12 25
Hamburg regional election, 2020 14 36
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 14 439
Dutch general election, 2023 7 23
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 15 47
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 15 53
Lübeck local election, 2013 (small parties) 15 41
SPD-Parteivorsitz 2019 16 34
17 17
Lower Saxony local elections, 2021 9 31
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 18 54
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 18 45
Senate elections - Canton Genève 2023 (2nd turn) 19 20
Gemeinderatswahl Krems 2012 19 37
East-Berlin state election, 2023 20 26
Rendsburg-Eckernförde local election, 2013 20 91
US Senate election, 2012 19 35
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 12 41
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 21 63
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 22 49
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 20 35
Kommunalwahl Flensburg 2013 24 62
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 13 42
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 26 51
Kommunalwahl Baden-Württemberg 2019 26 49
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (kleine Parteien) 27 69
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Halle (Saale) 2019 28 34
Kiel local election, 2013 (small parties) 29 118
German general election, 2021 30 81
Koalitionsmarkt Österreich 2019 23 48
Plön local election, 2013 30 85
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 31 108
Berlin state election, 2023 33 55
Kiel local election, 2013 33 140
Europawahl Österreich 2019 (kleine Parteien) 35 54
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 (kl. Parteien) 37 50
Grüne Urabstimmung zur Spitzenkandidatur 2013 31 59
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 34 66
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 49 50
Exits from the Euro-zone 63 116
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 77 179
Graz local election, 2013 108 144
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 134 1,499
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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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