in Germany:

How many votes (in %) will the small parties win in the Baden-Württemberg state elections, 2026?

Participants: 27
Market opening: 20.01.2026 22:00
Market close: 08.03.2026 17:07
Top trader: wert12

Baden-Württemberg state elections, 2026

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Ranking list of markets by 02.02.2026 13:00

The ranking is calculated daily at 00:00, 12:00 and 18:00 UTC. Next calculation at: 02.02.2026 19:00

1 - 25 by 27
Rank Participant Cash Share value Total value Yield
1 wert12 - (26) - (2) - (1) +5.72 %
2 sharpnutzer 25,250.44 (25) 77,832.11 (3) 103,082.55 (2) +3.08 %
3 EKG 44,802.97 (3) 57,594.85 (25) 102,397.82 (3) +2.40 %
4 thomas24 32,644.06 (23) 69,565.78 (5) 102,209.84 (4) +2.21 %
5 gruener (Luddit) - (2) - (26) - (5) +2.03 %
6 Bergischer 36,616.92 (6) 64,463.22 (22) 101,080.14 (6) +1.08 %
7 Andena 35,177.05 (8) 65,889.44 (6) 101,066.49 (7) +1.07 %
8 Rosevietarot 35,714.32 (7) 65,159.10 (21) 100,873.42 (8) +0.87 %
9 Kritischer Analyst (!) 25,865.40 (24) 74,943.58 (4) 100,808.98 (9) +0.81 %
10 Dr.Ottl - (5) - (23) - (10) +0.68 %
11 concordia - (9) - (20) - (11) +0.64 %
12 salbei 35,000.00 (10) 65,640.00 (8) 100,640.00 (12) +0.64 %
12 basilikum 35,000.00 (10) 65,640.00 (8) 100,640.00 (12) +0.64 %
12 Major Boothroyd 35,000.00 (10) 65,640.00 (8) 100,640.00 (12) +0.64 %
12 Wahlfieber Team - (10) - (8) - (12) +0.64 %
12 bekol 35,000.00 (10) 65,640.00 (8) 100,640.00 (12) +0.64 %
12 Retsina - (10) - (8) - (12) +0.64 %
12 Josy - (10) - (8) - (12) +0.64 %
12 Hauke Haien - (10) - (8) - (12) +0.64 %
12 Dominique Kupfer 35,000.00 (10) 65,640.00 (8) 100,640.00 (12) +0.64 %
12 GrouchoMarx 35,000.00 (10) 65,640.00 (8) 100,640.00 (12) +0.64 %
12 last-exit - (10) - (8) - (12) +0.64 %
12 an-d - (10) - (8) - (12) +0.64 %
24 Wahlhelfer-HH 34,959.94 (22) 65,670.15 (7) 100,630.09 (24) +0.63 %
25 milton 49,426.33 (1) 50,808.08 (27) 100,234.41 (25) +0.23 %

Top movers: Baden-Württemberg state elections, 2026

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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2025

  • Several state elections in Germany, Austria, Switzerland and Liechtenstein
  • Presidential elections in Romania, Poland, Ireland, Portugal
  • National elections in Germany, Czech Republic, Netherlands, Norway - Argentina, Australia, Canada

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