CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | Linke | AfD | Andere | MAE | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ergebnis 2013 | - 36,0 - % | - 32,6 - % | - 13,7 -% | - 9,9 - % - | - 3,1 - % - | - 0,0 - % - | - | -4,7 - % - | - |
Prognosen: | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Wahlbörse (Wahlfieber) | 31,62 - | 33,94 - | 9,12 - | 8,84 - | 4,98 - | 8,32 - | - | 3,19 - | 1,43 |
Wahlbörse (Wahlfieber - intern) | 31,90 - | 34,07- | 9,31 - | 8,98 - | 5,07 - | 7,90 - | - | 2,77 - | 1,31 |
Wahltippspiel Wahlrecht.de | 31,6 - | 33,3 - | 9,6 - | 9,7 - | 5,1 - | 7,7 - | - | 2,9 - | 1,60 |
Wahlbörse (PESM Prognosys) | 31,61 - | 33,80 - | 9,28 - | 9,57 - | 5,12- | 7,48 - | - | 3,14 - | 1,48 |
Wahlbörse (FAZ Orakel) | 31,91 - | 32,35 - | 9,07 - | 9,87 - | 5,25 - | 8,65 - | - | 4,43 - | 2,02 |
Umfragen: | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
FGW - Politbarometer | 33,0 - | 34,5 - | 9,0 - | 9,0 - | 5,0 - | 7,0 - | - | 2,5 - | 0,91 |
Infratest Dimag | 34,0 - | 34,0 - | 8,5 - | 8,0 - | 4,5 - | 8,0 - | - | 3,0 - | |
Insa | 32,0 - | 33,0 - | 10,0 | 10,0 - | 5,0 - | 7,0 - | - | 3,0 - | |
Civey - Spiegel Online | 31,8 - | 34,6 - | 8,5 - | 8,9 - | 5,7 - | 7,8 - | - | 2,7 - | |
dimag | 39,0 - | 31,0 - | 8,0 - | 8,0 - | 4,0 - | 8,0 - | - | 2,0 - | |
Forsa | 35,0 - | 36,0 - | 8,0 - | 6,0 - | 4,0 - | 6,0 - | - | 5,0 - | |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
Irgendwie zustande gekommen: | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Prognos | 30,0 - | 34,5 - | 9,0 - | 9,5 - | 5,0 - | 8,5 - | - | 3,5 - | 1,73 |
WaFI-Team | 31,0 - | 35,0 - | 9,5 - | 9,0 - | 5,0 - | 7,5 - | - | 3,0 - | 1,30 |
Seniorenclub Vatikan | 30,3 - | 35,0 - | 9,0 - | 10,5 - | 4,9 - | 7,5 - | - | 2,8 - | 1,43 |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Nachwahlumfragen: | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
ARD (18:00) | 35,0 - | 37,5 - | 8,5 - | 7,0 - | 4,8 - | 5,5 - | - | 1,7 - | - |
ZDF (18:00) | 35,0 - | 37,0 - | 8,0 - | 7,5 - | 4,5 - | 5,5 - | - | 2,5 - | - |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Ergebnis 2017 | 33,63 % | 36,93 % | 8,73 % | 7,52 % | 4,63 % | 6,16 % | - | 2,40 % | - |
*****
Anm.: Die Tabelle wird nach und nach ergänzt.
Bei Wahlfieber sind jeweils zwecks direktem Vergleich mit den weiteren Wahlbörsen die Schlusskurse angeführt.
Bei den Umfragen wurde jeweils auf die zuletzt vor der Wahl publizierte sogenannte Sonntagsfrage zurückgegriffen.
Mitunter ergeben sich in Summe nicht 100,00 %.
Da war der Schnitt doch weit daneben.....
richtig!
alle prognosen lagen mehr oder weniger daneben.
Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.
Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections
Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.
USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.
UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.
Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.
This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter
Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com