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  • » Bavarian local elections, 2026 (small parties)

How many votes (in %) will the small parties win in the Bavarian local elections, 2026?

Participants: 21
Market opening: 17.12.2025 22:00
Market close: 08.03.2026 16:10
Top trader: wert12

Bavarian local elections, 2026

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Ranking list of markets by 10.01.2026 13:00

The ranking is calculated daily at 00:00, 12:00 and 18:00 UTC. Next calculation at: 10.01.2026 19:00

1 - 21 by 21
Rank Participant Cash Share value Total value Yield
1 wert12 - (1) - (1) - (1) +46.57 %
2 gruener (Luddit) - (15) - (6) - (2) +4.38 %
3 Major Boothroyd 43,995.00 (16) 49,798.90 (5) 93,793.90 (3) +4.22 %
4 Wahlhelfer-HH 39,888.70 (19) 52,033.43 (4) 91,922.13 (4) +2.14 %
5 Bergischer 42,648.76 (17) 49,120.74 (7) 91,769.50 (5) +1.97 %
6 sharpnutzer 50,546.79 (4) 40,523.75 (11) 91,070.54 (6) +1.19 %
7 Rosevietarot 45,899.88 (14) 45,000.50 (9) 90,900.38 (7) +1.00 %
8 Dr.Ottl - (13) - (10) - (8) +0.80 %
9 Hauke Haien - (2) - (21) - (9) +0.43 %
10 Retsina - (3) - (20) - (10) +0.40 %
11 bekol 32,828.79 (20) 57,352.48 (3) 90,181.27 (11) +0.20 %
12 mühldorfer 50,000.00 (5) 40,164.00 (12) 90,164.00 (12) +0.18 %
12 Seatditsch 50,000.00 (5) 40,164.00 (12) 90,164.00 (12) +0.18 %
12 last-exit - (5) - (12) - (12) +0.18 %
12 Wahlfieber Team - (5) - (12) - (12) +0.18 %
12 Cohen 50,000.00 (5) 40,164.00 (12) 90,164.00 (12) +0.18 %
12 Dominique Kupfer 50,000.00 (5) 40,164.00 (12) 90,164.00 (12) +0.18 %
12 GrouchoMarx 50,000.00 (5) 40,164.00 (12) 90,164.00 (12) +0.18 %
12 Zappa 50,000.00 (5) 40,164.00 (12) 90,164.00 (12) +0.18 %
20 thomas24 40,578.92 (18) 48,495.67 (8) 89,074.59 (20) -1.03 %
21 joschie991 0.18 (21) 61,187.05 (2) 61,187.23 (21) -32.01 %

Top movers: Bavarian local elections, 2026

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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2025

  • Several state elections in Germany, Austria, Switzerland and Liechtenstein
  • Presidential elections in Romania, Poland, Ireland, Portugal
  • National elections in Germany, Czech Republic, Netherlands, Norway - Argentina, Australia, Canada

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